Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.250346 0.294965 0.342500 0.396632 0.456292 0.519773 0.592157
2024-10-06 0.199595 0.261641 0.332260 0.417472 0.516407 0.626616 0.757614
2024-10-13 0.153072 0.223665 0.309410 0.418588 0.551322 0.705033 0.894032
2024-10-20 0.119263 0.194374 0.291556 0.421575 0.586183 0.783179 1.032237
2024-10-27 0.097238 0.175939 0.283891 0.434747 0.632389 0.875380 1.189487
2024-11-03 0.080410 0.161285 0.278572 0.449103 0.679359 0.969056 1.350577
2024-11-10 0.066728 0.148461 0.273599 0.462395 0.724350 1.060706 1.510878
2024-11-17 0.051350 0.129424 0.256711 0.456785 0.742628 1.117584 1.627841
2024-11-24 0.041521 0.117647 0.249003 0.462908 0.776084 1.194154 1.770766
2024-12-01 0.031557 0.102903 0.234316 0.456813 0.791215 1.245887 1.881732
2024-12-08 0.022319 0.086580 0.214375 0.440363 0.789774 1.274173 1.961449
2024-12-15 0.018013 0.080039 0.210623 0.448784 0.824287 1.351755 2.107402
2024-12-22 0.012812 0.069243 0.197664 0.441513 0.835662 1.398502 2.214497
2024-12-29 0.010986 0.067303 0.201661 0.462844 0.891023 1.508121 2.408717
2025-01-05 0.008026 0.060214 0.194054 0.463392 0.914047 1.572122 2.541537
2025-01-12 0.005850 0.054399 0.188127 0.466196 0.940310 1.640959 2.681811
2025-01-19 0.004631 0.051585 0.188405 0.480047 0.984308 1.736065 2.859696
2025-01-26 0.003687 0.049296 0.189494 0.495243 1.030640 1.835109 3.044101
2025-02-02 0.002877 0.046957 0.190074 0.509348 1.075395 1.932409 3.227145
2025-02-09 0.001755 0.041047 0.180607 0.503301 1.086480 1.979764 3.340094
2025-02-16 0.001184 0.037897 0.177729 0.509803 1.118392 2.058453 3.498204
2025-02-23 0.000618 0.032936 0.168780 0.503274 1.127787 2.103119 3.608019
2025-03-02 0.000213 0.026938 0.155137 0.485688 1.117195 2.116777 3.672992